Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.
⚔️ Russia may exhaust the resources for a war against Ukraine by 2028 if the current rate of losses continues, — head of the Main Intelligence Directorate Oleg Ivashchenko in an interview with The Times
In his assessment, Russia still has military and economic resources for next year, but they could run out by 2028.
Right now Russia is recruiting about 1000-1200 people daily, while its losses at the front are roughly 1400-1500 servicemembers per day. About 60% of them, Ivashchenko says, are killed.
If that trend continues, over the next 18 months the Russian army could lose another roughly 766 thousand people — nearly 460 thousand killed.
Ivashchenko also speaks of low morale both in the Russian army and among the population. In his words, the majority of Russians actually do not want the war.