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Залізний нардеп 100

🔮 An AI won the Metaculus seasonal forecasters’ cup for the first time. Machines placed 1-th, 2-th and 5-th, humans pla...

19.09.2026, 20:07 Залізний нардеп ↗

Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.

🔮 An AI won the Metaculus seasonal forecasters’ cup for the first time. Machines placed 1-th, 2-th and 5-th, humans placed 3-th and 4-th.

One system earned 6% on a portfolio of $100 thousand on the Kalshi prediction market. Another developer turned $35 into $1,94 million in seven months. The winning bot was built by one engineer in under 150 hours and for a few thousand dollars.

A forecast from top human superforecasters can cost over $10 thousand and take a week. A machine produces it in ten minutes and for a few dollars. This is already a separate market, not a capabilities demo.

Screenshot of a Telegram post: 🔮 An AI won the Metaculus seasonal forecasters’ cup for the first time. Machin…

🔮 ШІ вперше виграв сезонний кубок прогнозистів Metaculus. Машини посіли 1-ше, 2-ге і 5-те місця, люди - 3-тє та 4-те.

Одна система заробила 6% на портфелі у $100 тис. на ринку прогнозів Kalshi. Інший розробник перетворив $35 на $1,94 млн за сім місяців. Переможний бот створив один інженер менш ніж за 150 годин і кілька тисяч доларів.

Прогноз від людських суперпрогнозистів може коштувати понад $10 тис. і тривати тиждень. Машина робить його за десять хвилин і кілька доларів. Це вже окремий ринок, а не демонстрація можливостей.

Screenshot of a Telegram post: 🔮 ШІ вперше виграв сезонний кубок прогнозистів Metaculus. Машини посіли 1-ше,…
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