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Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.
There are several main scenarios regarding the war in Ukraine: from the most likely — a protracted war — to the less likely — a quick peace already by the end of 2026 year. However, objectively the Russian-Ukrainian negotiation process can be productive in only two respects: prisoner swaps and the return of bodies of the dead, and a moratorium on air strikes. As long as the Kremlin dictator Vladimir Putin believes he can seize all of Donetsk region, and as long as Ukraine is not willing to give the aggressor its territories, there is no prospect of a peace agreement.
As for the Kremlin’s logic of action, it is obvious: it intends to use any opportunity to go further and capture more, with the ultimate goal of destroying Ukraine as a state. In this context, the Kremlin’s statements that allegedly Poland and other EU countries bordering Ukraine might seize parts of our country are far from accidental. De facto, this is an invitation to Ukraine’s neighbors to partition our country. In this situation it is extremely important to strengthen Ukraine’s defensive potential, even if the Kremlin’s leadership changes.
This opinion was expressed in an exclusive interview with OBOZ.UA by Israeli military analyst David Sharp.
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