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Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.
Even with a significant deterioration in relations between Ukraine and the United States and associated restrictions on military aid, the very fact of Ukraine’s survival is not in doubt. The worst-case scenario would be a complete refusal by the Americans to provide intelligence, a total shutdown of Starlink, and an end to arms deliveries to Ukraine under the PURL program. However, this is unlikely.
If U.S. military assistance is significantly reduced, that would indeed be a problem for Ukraine, but the front will not collapse and there will be no catastrophe. Within just a few days after the U.S. election scheduled for 3 November, tensions will subside. But in the time remaining before the election, Ukrainian leadership should carefully weigh the cost of various decisions. In particular, they should take into account that deliveries of missiles for Patriots are limited for entirely objective reasons related to the United States’ commitments to partners in the Middle East.
This opinion was expressed in an exclusive interview with OBOZ.UA by Israeli military analyst David Sharp.
Telegram publication
