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The United States' withdrawal from NATO or a reduction of its military presence in Europe could increase the risk of a Russian attack on Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia. Nuclear arsenal expert Spencer Warren believes that in such a scenario dictator Putin might resort to using nuclear weapons if he decides that it would help seize the Baltic countries.
In an interview with Forbes, Warren explained that weakening American support for European allies could accelerate Moscow’s plans. At the same time, in his assessment, European countries are capable of resisting Russia in a conventional war, but the possibility of nuclear escalation remains far less predictable.
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