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Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.
🗓️ Tomorrow the Rada session begins…. Where the mono-majority sets the agenda and there are zero anti-corruption changes. Although all the bills from our anti-corruption package have long been ready.
📊 So my team and I decided to check what “a majority” is now. We counted all Rada votes from 1 September through 28 October. We only included days when the deputy was at work (so as not to confuse absence with a position). And the arithmetic turned out very simple.
👥 211 times the ruling faction pressed “for.” Not once did it reach 226 on its own. More than 229-230 mandates, but the board showed on average 171 votes. Each time to reach 226 it lacked 55.
🤷♂️ Why is that? Because within Servant of the People itself:
▪️ the core that almost always supports the faction’s decisions is 74 people.
▪️ another 67 vote with the faction 8-9 times out of 10.
▪️ the rest — occasionally or less often.
Inside Servant of the People there are internal groups:
▪️ the Razumkov group — in less than half the votes, 93 times they did not vote together
▪️ “Dnipro” — 85%, but 21 times they did not vote together
▪️ the “Pavlyuk” group — 70%, and 16 times together
🕵️♂️ So 55 votes are sought each time.
4 Deputy groups provide on average only 40:
▪️ “Dovira” supports the government as often as Servant of the People itself. But that is 14 votes
▪️ “Platform for Life and Peace,” formerly OPZZh, gives only 11 votes.
▪️ “For the Future” 9 votes, and “Revival” only 8.
Without these 4 groups, 78 of 149 adopted decisions would not have passed. Another 9 votes are given by non-affiliated deputies.
🤔 The opposition also adds on average 29. And 51 decisions would not have passed without it. But these are usually non-problematic votes: ratifications of agreements with partners, investigative commissions, Rada statements, amendments.
🤦♂️ And even with all those votes, the authorities 62 times out of 211 could not pass a decision they themselves supported. Almost every third.
🏦 The budget in the first reading passed with a minimal margin of 232 votes.
💁♂️ When you don’t have your own majority, yet still want to set the agenda without anti-corruption changes))))
🎬 All the figures with animations — in the video:
https://youtu.be/rn0YGhY63V8?si=RAnEzrxT406FQJ2C
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