Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.
The U.S. intelligence community believes that the aggressor state Russia may begin massive strikes on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure before autumn to inflict maximum damage ahead of Ukraine’s Independence Day. The monitoring project “PAVLIUCHENKO – BANDERIVETS FROM THE FOREST” reported this on 8 August.
“American intelligence officers consider ballistic strikes on Kyiv 'on credit'—that is, using strategically accumulated stocks of ballistic missiles—particularly likely and particularly intense up to 24 August,” the report says.
Pavliuchenko noted that the Russian army will likely use up its stocks by November. During that period, Russia may launch up to 100 ballistic missiles per month. Afterwards, Russia will likely return to attacks using 55–60 missiles per month.
According to the monitoring project, the Russian army continues preparing for a massive ballistic strike. However, as of now there is no warning of such an attack. Pavliuchenko said reports about delivering 32 ballistic missiles to positions for strikes on Ukraine, mainly Kyiv, are not accurate.
He also shared that some negotiations to supply Ukraine with ammunition for Patriot air defense systems, he said, “have been successful, and in the short term there should be more means of destruction.”
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