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Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.
Russia theoretically can supply 600 thousands of mobilized, but does not have the resources to train that many invaders at once. At the same time, the Kremlin is capable of preparing up to 100 thousand new fighters for the war against Ukraine every month, despite recent declines in the pace of recruiting contract soldiers into the Russian army. As of 21 September, this is stated in the Main Intelligence Directorate's assessment.
Regarding Russia's potential ability to supply 600 thousand mobilized, the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense stated in response to a request from LIGA.net. The intelligence noted that there is a resource base for such a large-scale conscription in the Kremlin, however the simultaneous training of all 600 thousand people for reconnaissance appears unrealistic due to a lack of instructors, ranges, and material–technological infrastructure.
Conversely, according to the GUR's assessment, Russia is able to provide training for about 100 thousand invaders monthly. This means that even in the event of a mass mobilization announcement, the Kremlin will stretch the training of new reinforcements over several months, rather than conducting it all at once.
The Kremlin is preparing the ground for a new wave of conscription
The question of possible new mobilization in Russia has intensified amid Western diplomats' reports about the Kremlin preparing for a large-scale conscription after the fake elections to the Russian State Duma. The formal regulatory framework for such a step in Russia is already prepared, although officially authorities continue to deny these plans.
Meanwhile, the occupation administration is preparing the ground for compulsory conscription in the occupied territories of Ukraine. The Kremlin is attempting to compensate for the shortage of volunteers by increasing pressure on men – they are detained on the streets, taken from their workplaces, and forced to sign contracts with threats and blackmail, despite record one-time payments to recruits.
Earlier Informator reported that a new wave of mobilization is being prepared in the occupied Donbas, and the so-called "head of the DNR" Denis Pushilin ordered the new "first deputy prime minister" Kirill Makarov to oversee the process. According to The Economist, Putin is preparing mobilization of from 300 to 400 thousand people, as he fears ending the war without capturing all of Donbas.
We also wrote that former CIA Director David Petraeus assessed whether mobilization would help Putin achieve his goals. He noted that recruitment of another 100-200 thousand soldiers would not even change the situation at a tactical level, since the Russian army has not yet reached the fortified towns of Donbas.
Document: PDF proof of the original version of the news item "В ГУР розкрили, скільки Росія може забезпечити мобілізованих – готуватимуть також 100 тисяч окупантів щомісяця". It records the publication content at the moment of the first scan, the preservation date and the source: Informator.
