Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.
The aggressor country will intensify hybrid attacks against NATO in the coming months, and in some cases this could even lead to a limited military operation against Alliance states. This was stated on 24 September by the Danish Defence Intelligence Service. In its assessment, Russia will act more frequently and with greater consequences for the countries targeted than before. The intelligence service also raised the threat level to Denmark's own critical infrastructure.
Danish intelligence said that Russia will carry out more frequent attacks on the West and NATO, Reuters reports, citing the Danish Defence Intelligence Service. Moscow has repeatedly denied any involvement in hybrid warfare, sabotage operations in NATO countries, or planning a confrontation with the West.
Danish analysts predict a "growing risk" that Russia will launch a limited military attack on one or more NATO countries bordering the aggressor country.
"A limited military attack would be a desperate step by Russia and, like intensified hybrid attacks, could potentially take place in the coming months," the Danish Defence Intelligence Service said.
According to Danish intelligence, such attacks could include isolated strikes with long-range weapons—drones or missiles—against infrastructure supporting Ukraine, as well as false-flag operations using Ukrainian-made drones. This was said at a press conference by the head of intelligence, Thomas Aarenkil.
He added that Russia could also deploy a limited number of troops in NATO border areas, possibly under the pretext of protecting Russian minorities.
"The aim is not to seize a country, but to divide NATO," said head of intelligence Thomas Aarenkil.
Denmark has already recorded a direct provocation against its own military
According to the Danish military, last week a Russian frigate fired two signal rockets toward a Danish military helicopter, and one of them nearly struck the aircraft. This incident was one of the reasons for the new intelligence warning about increased aggressive actions by the Kremlin near NATO borders.
In a separate statement on 24 September, the Danish Agency for Resilience reported a likely attempt by Russia to carry out destructive cyberattacks against Denmark and raised the country's threat level. Thus Danish authorities effectively acknowledged that they are preparing to counter two types of threats at once—military provocations and cyberattacks.
Earlier, Informator reported that Russia could resort to hybrid strikes against EU countries to pressure European societies to push their politicians to withdraw support for Ukraine. According to the head of the Center for Countering Disinformation, Andriy Kovalenko, the Kremlin has long considered such actions against the Baltic states, and the new wave of sabotage is aimed at factories that produce weapons for Ukraine. We also wrote that France is preparing for Russia’s hybrid attacks, and President Emmanuel Macron held an urgent meeting at the Élysée Palace, instructing the government to prepare a plan to protect critical infrastructure from drones and cyberattacks.
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