Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.
On Tuesday, 10 November, Ukraine and Russia, with the mediation of the United States, will again hold trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi after a nine-month pause. However, the issue of stopping hostilities will not be on the agenda of the planned meetings.
The talks will last 2 days. The New York Times reports this.
What will they discuss at the talks?
After 9-month pause, another round of talks will take place in Abu Dhabi. The negotiating process previously slowed over Russia's demand to hand over the Donbas territory, which its occupiers were unable to capture, and the start of the war by the United States and Israel against Iran. The publication reports that this time U.S. officials plan to go beyond disputes over territory and focus on preventing a new escalation.
According to American officials, the main focus will be on security guarantees that should prevent a return to war in case of agreement. The process is being coordinated by the administration's special representative Sti Vitkoff and Donald Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner.
Steve Vitkoff said that the sides will focus on the following issues:
postwar security arrangements;
de-escalation;
humanitarian issues.
Participants in the consultations also plan to determine whether Moscow's involvement in shaping the postwar architecture of the region can soften the Kremlin's demands.
Trump, who will not be present at the talks, stated that the goal was a “big, great deal.” How they plan to engage security guarantees without pausing hostilities, the American president and his team did not explain.
Meanwhile, disputes around the format of European participation continue. French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian stated Paris intends to participate in the talks, while Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov denied the presence of Europeans.
European Union chief diplomat Ursula von der Leyen emphasized the need to coordinate with the European community.
Any agreement will require the participation of the EU for its realization.
— stressed the politician.
Prospects for dialogue and analysts' expectations
Recall that in March 2025 year Ukraine proposed an immediate and unconditional ceasefire along the front line. Kyiv has repeatedly stressed that the proposal remains in effect. At the same time, Vladimir Putin stated that ending Russia's war would allegedly require handing over the entire Donetsk region.
Most analysts currently do not expect rapid progress before spring, when Russia will be able to summarize the results of the winter bombardments of Ukrainian cities. Instead, Ukraine continues systematic strikes on the enemy's oil refining facilities, undermining the enemy's economic resources.
Former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine William Taylor cautiously assessed the Kremlin's willingness to make concessions. He noted that Moscow currently shows no signs of interest in winding down hostilities.
The question is: "Has Putin realized that he has a problem?"
— said the diplomat.
It should be noted that the Ukrainian negotiating group includes head of the Foreign Intelligence Service Rustem Umerov, head of the Office of the President Kyrylo Budanov, as well as David Arakhamia, Serhiy Kislytsia and Vadym Skibitsky.
Meetings in the United Arab Emirates are planned for 10 – 11 November in a trilateral format between representatives of Ukraine, the United States, and Russia. It should be recalled that among the main items on the agenda Kyiv seeks to raise the question of maritime safety and mutual cessation of strikes on energy infrastructure.
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