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Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.
A ceasefire will not be on the agenda of the talks between Ukraine and Russia, which will resume on 10 in Abu Dhabi after a nine-month pause. Instead, negotiators will focus on security guarantees to prevent a resumption of the war after a possible agreement on a ceasefire is reached. Many analysts do not expect any breakthrough in the negotiations before spring, when Russia will be able to assess the results of its winter bombing campaign.
The New York Times reports on the resumption of the bargaining process. According to the publication, the process had previously stalled due to Ukraine’s unwillingness to make territorial concessions to Russia and due to the United States’ and Israel’s war against Iran. Now the idea is to move away from strictly territorial claims and consider broader questions of European security.
Vitkov told reporters that the negotiations will focus on a postwar security agreement, de-escalation, and humanitarian issues. In addition, the parties will consider whether Russia’s participation in shaping the postwar regional security architecture could soften its demands to end the war against Ukraine.
"The question is: did Putin realize that he has a problem?" said former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine William Taylor.
According to the diplomat, Putin has not realized this yet, as Russia is not softening its demands and shows no signs of seeking a ceasefire.
"There are no signs of interest," Taylor added.
Regarding European participation in the talks, positions diverge: French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian stated that his country would participate, while Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov denied this. The EU’s chief diplomat, Josep Borrell, stressed that any agreement would require the EU’s involvement for its implementation.
The delegation compositions for Tuesday’s meeting have been announced.
The trilateral format of talks involving Ukraine, the United States, and Russia is planned for 10 and 11 in November. In addition to Umerov, Ukraine’s delegation includes presidential office head Kyrylo Budanov, head of the Servant of the People faction David Arakhamia, first deputy head of the presidential office Serhiy Kislytsia, and deputy head of the Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense Vadym Skibitsky. Parallel to Abu Dhabi, representatives from the E4 format countries, NATO, and the European Commission will be in Abu Dhabi, with whom the Ukrainian side will hold separate coordination meetings.
Earlier, Informator reported that political scientist Volodymyr Fesenko warned about risks of a new version of Donald Trump’s peace plan for Ukraine. According to him, the details of the plan have not been officially released, but there have already been numerous leaks in Western media, and such arrangements could practically mean concessions at Kyiv’s expense. We also wrote that the Institute for the Study of War explained why the Kremlin sends Vladimir Medinsky and Sergey Ryabkov to the talks in the UAE. Analysts note that including officials who have previously slowed negotiations indicates that Moscow is still not interested in real agreements.
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