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Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.
❗️The alarming incidents on Latvia’s border are an entire “covert” special operation by hostile intelligence services, which allows for gradually (!) raising the level of escalation while also retaining the ability to deny another state's involvement.
This case, as if following an intelligence services’ script — resembles “special active measures of kinetic action” and an operation in the “gray zone.”
Important details:
• Pressure on the state through operatives who are formally uninvolved.
• Uncertainty about who is controlling them.
• In the case of Latvia and Belarus the situation looks as if — illegal migrants are creating a crisis.
• In fact — armed people without identifying insignia are crossing the border into NATO territory (!) and damaging border infrastructure.
• This may be an intensification of hybrid pressure and a test of Latvia’s response.
• Undoubtedly this whole situation is the work of Belarusian and Russian intelligence services.
Note that even before the large-scale war — in 2021, NATO officially characterized the migration pressure organized by Belarus on Latvia, Lithuania, and Poland as hybrid actions.
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