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🇺🇸 Fake polling was caught in the U.S. Right before the elections. The firm Wedgewood Polls published “surveys” about t...

Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.

🇺🇸 Fake polling was caught in the U.S. Right before the elections.

The firm Wedgewood Polls published “surveys” about the Senate and gubernatorial races for several months. This week journalists at FiftyPlusOne exposed that the data were fabricated. Before publication the firm itself admitted it had falsified the “majority” of its polls.

😏 Their explanation is brilliant: allegedly it was an “experimental project” to show the industry’s vulnerability. Nate Silver called it, quote, bullshit and a pathetic attempt to get ahead of a scandal.

📊 The most interesting thing: the fakes had a direction.

▪️ In Michigan Wedgewood “painted” Democrat El-Sayed +5, when the polling average was +0,4

▪️ In Maine it was the first to “survey” the race against Susan Collins and gave the Democrat +5

▪️ In Wisconsin it showed the progressive candidate +3 ahead, while other polls showed a tie

That is, progressive candidates were especially “lucky.” And Democrat Mallory McMorrow, who withdrew from the primaries, said these “polls” undermined donors’ and voters’ trust in her campaign.

Before every election we also get “pollsters” nobody has ever heard of. The mechanics are the same 🤷‍♂️

Screenshot of a Telegram post: 🇺🇸 Fake polling was caught in the U.S. Right before the elections. The firm Wed…

🇺🇸 У США спіймали фейкову соціологію. Прямо перед виборами.

Фірма Wedgewood Polls кілька місяців публікувала «опитування» щодо виборів до Сенату і губернаторів. Цього тижня журналісти FiftyPlusOne викрили, що дані вигадані. Перед публікацією фірма сама визнала, що сфабрикувала «більшість» своїх опитувань.

😏 Пояснення в них геніальне: мовляв, це був «експериментальний проєкт», щоб показати вразливість індустрії. Нейт Сільвер назвав це, цитую, bullshit і жалюгідною спробою випередити скандал.

📊 Найцікавіше: у фейків був напрямок.

▪️ У Мічигані Wedgewood «намалювала» демократу Ель-Саєду +5, коли середнє по опитуваннях було +0,4

▪️ У Мейні вона першою «опитала» перегони проти Сьюзен Коллінз і дала демократу +5

▪️ У Вісконсині показала прогресивній кандидатці +3, коли інші опитування бачили нічию

Тобто особливо «щастило» прогресивним кандидатам. А демократка Меллорі Макморроу, яка знялася з праймеріз, заявила, що ці «опитування» підірвали довіру донорів і виборців до її кампанії.

У нас перед кожними виборами теж з'являються «соціологи», про яких ніхто ніколи не чув. Механіка та сама 🤷‍♂️

Screenshot of a Telegram post: 🇺🇸 У США спіймали фейкову соціологію. Прямо перед виборами. Фірма Wedgewood Pol…
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