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☢️ If the US refuses to defend Europe, Putin could use nuclear weapons to seize the Baltic states, - Forbes
This was said in an interview with the publication by Spencer Wehren, a researcher of Russia's nuclear policy at Harvard University.
In his assessment, if Washington begins to distance itself from NATO, the Kremlin could decide to invade Lithuania, Latvia, or Estonia, betting that the allies will not be able to organize a joint response.
At the same time, Wehren believes that in a conventional war Russia would most likely lose to the united European forces even without US participation. It is precisely the threat of such a defeat that could push Moscow to use nuclear weapons.
The article also cites a forecast from Danish military intelligence: Russia may be ready for a local war against a neighboring NATO country in about six months, for a regional war in the Baltic region in two years, and for a large-scale war in Europe in five years.
Wehren warns of a high risk of nuclear escalation if Russia begins to lose the war against European countries. He also allows that the threat of US intervention or retaliatory actions by France could deter the Kremlin from taking such a step.
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