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Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.
Only 22% of Ukrainians expect that the war will end by the end of 2026 year. Nevertheless, an absolute majority retains faith in victory. Citizens of Ukraine believe in the defeat of our state by 3%.
These data were obtained by sociologists at the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology, who surveyed the population in the second half of July. According to the results of the nationwide survey, 82% of citizens are convinced that the war will end with Ukraine's victory. At the same time, only a small portion of society predicts the end of hostilities in the near future.
Researchers recorded that 39% of Ukrainians believe that the advantage on the battlefield is currently on Ukraine's side, and only 7% give it to Russia. By comparison, in February 2024 year, the situation in favor of Ukraine was assessed by only 24% of respondents, while 15% foresaw an advantage for the enemy — that is, the perception changed significantly for the better.
Regarding the victory itself, confidence decreased somewhat compared to previous years: in February, 2024-th year, 89% of respondents believed in victory, while now — 82%. They forecast Ukraine's defeat only by 3%, and 16% did not decide.
Regarding the timelines for the end of hostilities, sociologists obtained the following distribution of answers:
22% of respondents expect the war to end by the end of 2026 year;
13% forecast the end of the war in the first half of 2027 year;
39% believe it will occur in the second half of 2027 year or later;
26% could not provide a specific answer.
Despite the uncertainty regarding timeframes, 63% of Ukrainians remain optimistic about the country’s long-term future and believe that within 10 years Ukraine will become a member of the European Union. The pessimistic scenario of the country’s destruction is seen by 23% of respondents, while 14% have not decided.
Increased willingness to endure the war for as long as necessary
The KMIS poll also showed that the share of Ukrainians willing to endure the war for as long as needed rose again. At the beginning of 2026 year this indicator fell from 65% in January to 48% in April, but by July-August it rose to 61%. At the same time, the number of those who rely only on a few months of endurance declined from 29% in April to 20% now.
Sociologists interviewed 1808 respondents on Ukrainian-controlled territory from 16 to 31 July 2026 year using a mixed interview method — some respondents were surveyed by phone, and some in person using tablets. The formal statistical error for the entire sample does not exceed 3,5%.
Trust in Ukrainians was led by the military, not politicians
Earlier, Informator reported that according to KMIS survey results, the trust rating among Ukrainians was led by Zaluzhnyi and Fedorov, while President Volodymyr Zelensky did not even make the top three. This indicates that society continues to trust the military and those associated with defending the country.
We also wrote about another sociological study in which almost 90% of Ukrainians confessed that what pains them most during the war. The survey then showed which aspects of military realities worry the most about the population.
Document: PDF proof of the original version of the news item "Українці не втратили віри в перемогу, але не чекають швидкого кінця війни". It records the publication content at the moment of the first scan, the preservation date and the source: Informator.
