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Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.
The opponent is working on increasing the simultaneous salvo to 200 units, launched from different carriers.
Russia knows about Ukraine's limited ability to intercept ballistic missiles and is trying to maximize this advantage. Ukrainian military and experts believe that enemy strikes are entering a new, critical phase and the number of hits will increase. What capabilities of the Russian army are being referred to – more in the report.
Critical phase
After the massive missile strike on Kyiv and the region in the night of 5 August, the president’s unofficial adviser, Serhiy "Flash" Beskrestnov, stated that, in his assessment, the Russian army is capable of launching about 100 ballistic missiles per month.
He also suggested that the intensity of attacks could soon rise.
Military experts share his view, polled by TSN.ua. In particular, military expert Oleh Zhadanov notes that the war is increasingly taking on a fatigue-based character, where each side tries to deal maximum damage to the opponent.
Ukraine, he says, concentrates on strikes against the foe's logistics and economic infrastructure, while Russian troops attack civilian targets, including warehouses and other critical infrastructure.
Zhadanov also notes that the near-term targets of Russian strikes may include not only Kyiv but other Ukrainian cities. Among potential directions he named Mykolaiv, Odesa, and Dnipro.
The expert believes the situation could change only after Ukraine strengthens its ballistic missile defense capabilities and develops its own long-range strike systems.
Meanwhile, military-political observer of the Information Resistance group Oleksandr Kovalenko also believes that Ukraine is in a critical phase of massive attacks. According to him, Russia is trying to increase the number of combined strikes and apply pressure on Ukrainian cities.
Active increase in capabilities
Deputy head of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, Major General Vadym Skibitsky, said today that since April the Russians have suspended production of the Kinshal and X-32, and money and components for them have been redirected to other types of missiles, in particular ballistic ones.
Skibitsky reminded that the Russians tried to increase the accuracy of the X-32, but results of several flight tests showed that they failed to achieve the required indicators. Because of this, the missile was sent back for refinement, and its serial production plan was suspended.
"The same nuances apply to Kinzhals. It is unlikely we will recall a case when this missile hit the target precisely. For an effective missile, deviation from the target should not exceed 5-7 meters, while theirs is 30 meters and more," he said in an interview with RBK-Ukraine.
Meanwhile, the Kremlin is focusing on producing other means of destruction. According to the intelligence, as of 3 August Moscow has already fulfilled its annual plan for Zircons and Ohnix (Onyxes). After modernization, Russians use these munitions not only as anti-ship missiles but also for strikes on ground targets.
"In general, for the main types of missile armament, they are currently implementing monthly plans at the level of 110-120%. According to the data from the Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, the July plan for manufacturing X-101 was fulfilled at 140%, Calibrs at 111%, air-launched cruise missile X-35 at 200%," Skibitsky noted.
Russia is also increasing production of strike unmanned aerial vehicles. The plan of the Russian defense complex for August provides for the release of 11 thousand strike drones, including types such as Geranium, Harpy, and Gerbera.
Salvo 200 of Russian missiles
Commander of the Ukrainian Forces of unmanned systems Robert "Madyar" Brovdy said that the Russian side is working on increasing the overall simultaneous missile salvo to about 200 units.
"The enemy is working on increasing the simultaneous salvo to 200 units, but this does not pertain exclusively to ballistic missiles," Brovdy wrote in Telegram.
Brovdy clarified that currently Russia is capable of providing a simultaneous salvo of more than 70 missiles of various types, launched from different carriers.
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