Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.
Elections to the Rada: main players and party candidate lists
The current — early — parliamentary campaign is interesting because, for the first time in the history of Ukrainian parliamentarism, the communists might not make it into the Verkhovna Rada. New socio-political associations, tempered on the Maidan this winter, are already eyeing their places.
In particular, the young political party Democratic Alliance is running in the election together with Civil Position of Anatoliy Hrytsenko. In addition, the Ukrainian political scene was recently surprised by the news of a joint electoral bid by the party Samopomich ("mutual aid") of Lviv mayor Andriy Sadovyi, the political party Volya, representatives of the Donbas battalion and civic activists from the Reanimation Package of Reforms.
According to the latest poll by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS), the five-percent threshold is surpassed by four right-leaning political groupings: the Bloc of Petro Poroshenko, the Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko, Civil Position (Hrytsenko), All-Ukrainian Union Batkivshchyna — and only one center-left Strong Ukraine of Serhiy Tihipko.
The president’s strength
The undisputed leader of the parliamentary race remains the party of President Petro Poroshenko under the new name Bloc of Petro Poroshenko. Poroshenko and Vitali Klitschko signed an agreement in March to run together in the election. By the way, that deal was not widely discussed, and most UDAR members didn’t even have time to understand what had happened. A sort of intra-party democracy in UDAR style.
Also joining the president’s team was Olha Bohomolets, chief physician of the Maidan ambulance service. This also positively affects the image of the new force. Already in this lineup, according to the KIIS poll, this force is receiving — 37% of voters’ votes.
Bloc of Petro Poroshenko list
1. Vitali Klitschko
2. Yuriy Lutsenko
3. Olha Bohomolets
4. Volodymyr Groysman
5. Mustafa Dzhemilev
6. Yuliy Mamchur
7. Mariya Matiios
8. Mykola Tomenko
9. Iryna Herashchenko
10 Vitaliy Kovalchuk
11. Serhiy Kmit
12. Ruslan Knyazevych
13. Yuriy Stets
14. Ihor Hryniv
15. Oksana Prodan
16. Natalia Novak
17. Viktor Penzenyk
18. Svitlana Zalishchuk
19. Serhiy Leshchenko
20. Mustafa Nayyem
21. Oleksandr Chernenko
22. Rostyslav Pavlenko
23. Mariya Ionova
24. Artur Palatniy
25. Romanuk Roman
26. Pavlo Rozenko
27. Hryhoriy Zabolotny
28. Inna Yuzhanina
29. Ihor Klymenko
30. Iryna Friz
31. Bohdan Onufriychuk
32. Anatoliy Matviyenko
33. Andriy Bahraiko
34. Ihor Palytsia
35. Viktor Krol
36. Mykola Ponomarchuk
37. Valeriy Ishchenko
38. Valeriy Patskan
39. Andriy Antonyshchak
40. Oleksiy Honcharenko
41. Leonid Kozachenko
42. Hennadiy Tkachuk
43. Artur Herasymov
44. Natalia Agafonova
45. Vadym Denysenko
46. Serhiy Trehubenko
47. Olha Belkova
48. Oleksiy Savchenko
49. Olha Chervakova
50. Mykhailo Kobzyr
54. Yehor Fyrosov
56. Vitaliy Chepynoga
58. Oleksandr Hranovskyi
59. Stepan Kubiv
60. Oleksiy Mushka
61. Ivanna Klympush
63. Serhiy Kudlaenko
64. Alena Motuzko
65. Stepan Barna
67. Serhiy Kunytsyn
69. Yaroslav Lysiuk
70. Iryna Lutsenko
75. Oleksandr Bryhynets
76. Dmytro Belotserkovets
77. Valeriy Karpuntsov
80. Oksana Bilozir
81. Roman Zvarych
86. Volodymyr Kurennoi
87. Pavlo Ryabikin
93. Lev Partskhaladze
96. Eduard Hurvits
102. Yuriy Hrymchak
People’s Front list (Arseniy Yatsenyuk)
1. Arseniy Yatsenyuk
2. Tetyana Chornovol
3. Oleksandr Turchynov
4. Andriy Parubiy
5. Andriy Teteriv
6. Arsen Avakov
7. Viktoriya Syumar
8. Viacheslav Kyrylenko
9. Liliya Hrynivych
10. Yuriy Bereza
11. Pavlo Petrenko
12. Serhiy Pashynskyi
13. Dmytro Tymchuk
14. Mykola Martynenko
15. Lyudmyla Denisova
16. Andriy Ivanchuk
17. Ihor Vasiunyk
18. Ruslan Lukyanchuk
19. Valeriy Lunchenko
20. Tetyana Donets
21. Anton Herashchenko
22. Yuriy Savchuk
23. Andriy Levus
24. Denys Dzenzerskyi
25. Valentyna Shkvaryliuk
26. Kostiantyn Mateichenko
27. Olena Ledovskykh
28. Olena Kalhanova
29. Serhiy Fayermak
30. Vadym Sidorchuk
31. Roman Zastavnyi
32. Yehven Deidei
33. Ostap Semerak
34. Mykola Kniazhytskyi
35. Valeriy Babenko
36. Oleksandr Ksenzhuk
37. Heorhiy Lohvynskyi
38. Viktor Yelenskyi
39. Maksym Poyalkov
40. Mykola Kryuchkovych
41. Oleksandr Horbunov
42. Mykhailo Khmel
43. Pavlo Horyan
44. Serhiy Vysotskyi
45. Petro Vonap
46. Svitlana Litsykhivska
47. Ihor Brychenko
48. Vitvytskyi
49. Pavlo Pinzenyk
50. Oleksandr Sochka
The one with the pitchforks
Oleh Lyashko unexpectedly finished third in the early presidential election with a result of over eight percent. According to the latest KIIS poll, his party receives 13% of votes, which allows it to contend for second place.
After several "striking" TV visuals of Lyashko attacking the regionals and communists, he took on the image of Robin Hood, who can take everything from the rich and give it to the poor — but that’s only populism. In difficult times for the country, populists concentrate large political support because people want rapid change. Society develops a demand for a person who will promise economic growth and an improved life today. However, in reality there is very little concrete action behind the rhetoric of such politicians.
Of course, Lyashko as a media personality is unique: a gifted demagogue with a sense of humor. During the Maidan, Lyashko transformed from a caricatured figure into a political personality that is hard to ignore. Now he is gradually occupying the niche that until recently belonged to the All-Ukrainian Union Svoboda — right-wing populism.
Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko list (top ten)
1. Oleh Lyashko
2. Andriy Lozovyi (Kyiv City Council deputy)
3. Serhiy Melnychuk (commander, Aidar battalion)
4. Zlata Ognevich (singer)
5. Artem Zapototskyi (Maidan activist)
6. Ihor Popo
7. Artem Vitko (commander, Luhansk-1 battalion)
8. Denys Sylantiev (swimmer, world champion)
9. Ihor Moseichuk (Kyiv City Council deputy)
10. Olena Kosheleva (volunteer)
The lost Svoboda
Svoboda lost its support for two main reasons.
The first is insufficient radicalism on the Maidan. Svoboda’s position was diluted in a triumvirate with Batkivshchyna and UDAR. Before the Maidan there was a myth that Svoboda was a truly radical nationalist force that should carry on the Ukrainian cause of the OUN-UPA. With the start of the Maidan, that myth began to collapse. All the glory of the right radicals and "extremists" was taken by the Right Sector.
The second is ordinary voter disappointment. Although Svoboda functioned as the opposition’s muscle in many physical confrontations in the Rada, in practice beating up communists proved insufficient for popular love.
Svoboda fell into a trap. A parliamentary party that was then tied to the coalition could not afford calls for a forceful overthrow of the regime, but the people who voted for Svoboda expected exactly that from it.
Svoboda list (top ten)
1. Oleh Tyahnybok
2. Ruslan Koshulynskyi
3. Oleksandr Sych
4. Bohdan Benyuk
5. Oleksiy Mirgorodskyi
6. Anatoliy Vytiv
7. Oleksandr Mirnyi
8. Andriy Mokhnyk
9. Oleh Pankevych
10. Ihor Miroshnychenko
Anatoliy Hrytsenko
Civil Position of Anatoliy Hrytsenko has quietly risen to third place (9,7%) in the latest KIIS poll, even overtaking the All-Ukrainian Union Batkivshchyna (6,1%).
Hrytsenko himself admitted that their internal sociology showed that the greatest support for Civil Position comes from people aged 45 years and up, which significantly narrows the party’s electorate.
A joint run with the young party Democratic Alliance solves this problem. This will positively affect Hrytsenko’s party image, as Democratic Alliance activists were active participants in the Maidan and so far remain politically chaste.
List of the bloc of Civil Position and Democratic Alliance (top ten)
1. Anatoliy Hrytsenko
2. Vasyl Hatsko
3. Maryna Solovyova
4. Oleh Derevyanko
5. Vitaliy Shabunin
6. Petro Landyak
7. Taras Setskyv
8. Anatoliy Zabarilo
9. Ivan Aparshin
10. Oleh Kanyvets
Yulia Tymoshenko
According to the KIIS study, Batkivshchyna received the lowest support among parties entering the new parliament (6,1%). But in every election Batkivshchyna shows somewhat better results than in sociological polls.
An increase in electoral support is quite possible, given the things Yulia Tymoshenko has taken on in this campaign. Batkivshchyna has seized a very “fat” slice of the electoral pie — they decided to build the campaign on the likely accession of Ukraine to NATO. As part of this campaign, Batkivshchyna is promoting the collection of signatures to call a referendum on joining NATO.
Today NATO in the minds of many Ukrainians is indeed transforming from a militarily hostile bloc into a symbol of security and peace — in contrast to the shattered image of a friendly Russia. This is a long but promising process. Many Ukrainians are frightened now; that fear can be exploited and used in an electoral campaign. People need their dream of peace restored. But this game is very dangerous. It could trigger a new wave of protests in eastern Ukraine.
Batkivshchyna party list
1. Nadezhda Savchenko Viktorivna
2. Yuliya Tymoshenko Volodymyrivna
3. Ihor Lutsenko Viktorovych
4. Serhiy Soboliev Vladyslavovych
5. Alena Shkrum Ivanivna
6. Vadym Ivchenko Yevhenovych
7. Hryhoriy Nemyria Mykhailovych
8. Ivan Krulko Ivanovych
9. Oleksiy Riabchyn Mykhailovych
10. Ihor Zhdanov Oleksandrovych
11. Dmytro Shlemko Vasylovych
12. Borys Tarasiuk Ivanovych
13. Andriy Kozhemiakin Anatoliyovych
14. Ivan Kyrylenko Hryhorovych
15. Serhiy Vlasenko Vladymirovych
16. Oleksandra Kuzhel Vladymyrivna
17. Aleksandr Abdullin Rafkatovych
18. Olena Kondratiuk Oleksandrivna 19. Valeriy Dubyl Oleksandrovych
20. Andriy Shevchenko Vitaliyovych
21. Vitaliy Danilov Bohdanovych
22. Kostiantyn Bondarev Anatoliyovych
23. Oleh Shevchuk Borysovych
24. Andriy Sokolovskyi Anatoliyovych
25. Dmytro Ivanov Dmytrovych
26. Oleksandr Bessonov Vladimirovych
27. Yaroslav Fedorchuk Petrovych
28. Volodymyr Kernitskyi Viktorovych
29. Vasyl Derevlyanyi Tymofeyovych
30. Ruslan Bohdan Dmytrovych
31. Ivan Muntyan Mykolaevych
32. Andriy Senchenko Vilenovych
33. Mykhailo Lyvinskyi Oleksandrovych
34. Andriy Pavlovskyi Mykhailovych
35. Lyudmyla Shcherbakovska Mykhailivna
36. Oleksandr Kamenyash Mykhailovych
37. Mykola Kucheruk Herasymovych
38. Valeriy Sushkevych Mykhailovych
39. Oleh Radkovskyi Volodymyrovych
40. Viktor Shvets Dmytrovych
41. Iryna Veryhina Konstantynivna
42. Valeriy Leskov Oleksandrovych
43. Oleksandr Ryabeka Hryhorovych
44. Pavlo Boychenko Ivanovych
45. Oleksandr Chernoivanenko Anatoliyovych
46. Viktor Oleynyk Stepanovych
47. Serhiy Podhornyi Petrovych
48. Vitaliy Frantsuz Iosifovych
49. Oleksandr Starukh Vasylovych
50. Oleh Lukashuk Hryhorovych
51. Valeriy Kalchenko Mykhailovych
52. Oleksandr Chubatenko Mykolayovych
53. Oleksandr Lysenko Mykolayovych
54. Olha Bodnar-Petrovska Olha Borysivna
55. Serhiy Mitrofanskyi Volodymyrovych
56. Oleksandr Halaka Ivanovych
57. Ihor Voloshyn Volodymyrovych
58. Stanislav Troshin Ihorovych
59. Valeriia Matviyenko Valeriivna
60. Anna Starykova Vitaliivna
61. Oleksandr Fomin Viktorovych
62. Vladyslav Roy Anatoliyovych 63. Ihor Ivzhenko Petrovych
64. Zakhariya Tkachuk Mykhailovych
65. Alena Hlivko Heorhiyivna
66. Serhiy Petrushko Anatoliyovych
67. Ihor Popadyuk Yaroslavovych
68. Yuliia Soloviova Oleksandrivna
69. Oleksandr Levytskyi Mykhailovych
70. Taras Baranetskyi Yaroslavovych
71. Bohdan Basist Vasylovych
72. Tetyana Artemenko Anatoliivna 73. Yaroslav Kucher
74. Anatoliy Aleksandrov Anatoliyovych
75. Oleksiy Zaharchenko Anatoliyovych
76. Oleh Sokolyk Vitaliyovych
77. Roman Kolisnychenko Roman Mykolayovych 78. Kateryna Melnyk Petroivna
79. Vadym Petrenko Mykhailovych
80. Andriy Kozar Vasylovych
81. Volodymyr Voytenko Volodymyrovych
82. Yehven Shaho Petrovych
83. Antonina Boliura Volodymyrivna
84. Oleksandr Ponomarenko Volodymyrovych
85. Serhiy Koshyn Mefodiyovych
86. Ivan Kolodiy Iosifovych
87. Petro Kravchuk Konstantynovych
88. Mykhailo Yamchuk Dmytrovych
89. Arkadiy Tokar Valentynovych
90. Olena Shustyk Yuriyivna
91. Feodosii Povarskyi Vasylovych
92. Tetyana Melikhova Ivanivna
93. Olena Armash Anatoliyivna
94. Vasyl Volkun Vasylovych
95. Viktor Uzhva Ivanovych
96. Andriy Mazurok Anatoliyovych
97. Vitaliy Korzh Terentiyovych
98. Ihor Zarechanskyi Hennadiyovych
99. Petro Verkhusha Ivanovych
100. Oleh Bezus Yevhenovych
101. Liubov Yaremenko Mykolaivna
102. Zoya Shyshkina Leonidivna
103. Tetyana Korniychuk Volodymyrivna
104. Petro Shevchenko Yakovlevych
105. Dmytro Ilchenko Olehovych 106. Yuriy Nechytailov Volodymyrovych
107. Olha Martynova Mykhailivna
108. Yuriy Mytnytskyi Heorhiyovych
109. Natalia Fedorchuk Mykolaivna
110. Hennadiy Shevchenko Mykolaevych
111. Serhiy Veselov Robertovych
112. Ruslan Vashchenko Mykolayovych
113. Halyna Kulchynska Hryhorivna
114. Mykola Zelinskyi Zdzislavovych
115. Oleksiy Sergeev Volodymyrovych
116. Oleksandr Halachenko Oleksandrovych
117. Oksana Mushchenko Volodymyrivna
118. Vasyl Melnyk Mykolaevych
119. Vera Fedosiuk Ivanivna
120. Svitlana Fedishena Ivanivna
121. Viktor Savchuk Dmytrovych
122. Nadiya Martynenko Petroivna
123. Ivan Krysak Bohdanovych
124. Volodymyr Balytskyi Petrovych
125. Petro Dzetsko Vasylovych
126. Natalia Skavynska Havrylivna
127. Liliia Tsalyn Bohdanivna
128. Olha Hranatova Arsenievna
129. Oksana Dolynska Mykolaivna
130. Oleksiy Mekshun Mykolayovych
131. Oleksandr Trotskyi Andriyovych
132. Oleksandr Perestayet Mykhailovych
133. Ihor Tobinskyi Yaroslavovych
134. Natalia Kobzar Stanislavivna
135. Lyudmyla Lavrova Viktorivna
136. Hryhoriy Patey Hryhoriyovych
137. Volodymyr Semistyaha Fedorovych
138. Yuriy Uyutnyi Petrovych
139. Yuriy Iordanov Ivanovych
140. Svitlana Fochuk Heorhiyivna
141. Askold Pekarskyi Heorhiyovych
142. Ivan Uhryn Mykhailovych
143. Yuliia Panchuk-Zolotukhina Ivanivna
144. Bohdan Petryshyn Mykhailovych
145. Lidiia Overchuk Mykolaivna
146. Yuriy Bohdanovych Bohdanovych
147. Yuriy Shnitke Voldemarovych
148. Olena Unguryan Hryhorivna
149. Pavlo Belonozhko Mykolayovych
150. Vladyslav Odynets Ivanovych
151. Stepan Tsmokanich Vasylovych
152. Liubov Rzhana Oleksandrivna
153. Volodymyr Kostyshyn Ivanovych
154. Halyna Machacha Safronivna
155. Nina Yasinska Anatoliyivna
156. Myroslava Korosteleva Valeriivna
157. Nellia Holubenko Oleksandrivna
158. Liudmyla Padalko Ivanivna
159. Tamara Hus Oleksandrivna
160. Halyna Danshina Oleksandrivna
161. Fedor Turchenko Hryhorovych
162. Herman Zverev Ridovych
163. Denys Ostapenko Viktorovych
164. Oleksandr Zloshchynskyi Mykolayovych
165. Olena Akrishora Porfirivna
166. Ihor Bohonos Mykhailovych
167. Orest Yarema Iosyfovych
168. Ruslan Farmus Volodymyrovych
169. Anatoliy Chychykalo Petrovych
170. Volodymyr Tantsiura Vasylovych
171. Ruslana Podolska Ivanivna
172. Oleh Tyshchenko Ivanovych
173. Mykola Prykhodko Vasylovych
174. Nazariy Bilobran Orestovych
175. Liudmyla Ramot Mykolaivna
176. Anatoliy Kononenko Mykhailovych
177. Liudmyla Shanskyi Vasylivna
178. Hryhoriy Andriichenko Vasylovych
179. Nataliia Durachevska Anatoliivna
180. Liudmyla Belous Mykolaivna
181. Serhiy Ponimash Petrovych
182. Serhiy Pulnyi Mykolayovych
183. Iryna Ostapenko Veniaminivna
184. Petro Georgiu Petrovych
185. Roman Pervanchuk Viktorovych
186. Mykhailo Pen Volodymyrovych
187. Ihor Pisklynets Dmytrovych
188. Serhiy Tkachenko Serhiyovych
189. Valentyn Zavalniuk Viktorovych
190. Lavrentiy Kopytsiak Frantsevych 191. Kateryna Vakulyuk Antonivna
192. Ihor Broshuk Serhiyovych
193. Olena Diahovets Volodymyrivna
194. Oksana Albrecht Oleksandrivna
195. Yaroslav Bondar Mykhailovych
196. Valeriy Humanenko Leonidovych
197. Anton Lyvrintz Antonovych
198. Nina Plis Mykhailivna
199. Nataliia Tarasova Oleksandrivna
200. Serhiy Melnyk Ihorovych
201. Anastasiia Tsepliayeva Volodymyrivna
202. Gia Goliadze Mykhailovych
203. Volodymyr Tartak Vasylovych
204. Tetyana Solovyova Ivanivna
205. Liudmyla Bekerska Serhiivna
206. Viktoriya Horbatovska Olehivna
207. Ihor Okulenko Mykolayovych
208. Viktor Hrytsai Hryhorovych
209. Viacheslav Dedov Illich
210. Olha Sakharuk Petrovna
211. Mariya Horbal Volodymyrivna
212. Liubov Hordeychuk Ivanivna
213. Stanislav Shcherbushenko Leonidovych
214. Olha Yesipova Stepanivna
215. Volodymyr Opalko Hryhorovych
216. Oleksandr Ivshinyuta Mykhailovych
217. Tetyana Honcharenko Petroivna
218. Nataliia Vaskovska Hryhorivna
219. Yuriy Batiuk Orestovych
220. Svitlana Manzhul Viktorivna
221. Serhiy Okhonko Mykolayovych
222. Mykhailo Burishyn Fedorovych
223. Serhiy Kononenko Oleksandrovych
Electoral system and new associations
Candidate for president Petro Poroshenko promised to change the current electoral system, but he did not achieve that. Apparently the president believes the parliament will be qualitatively renewed without changing electoral rules, and the number of former Yanukovych associates will be minimal. There is no perfect electoral system.
The difficulty of this electoral system for political parties lies in overcoming the electoral threshold of 5%. Under such conditions, young political forces have only two ways to get into the Verkhovna Rada.
The first is to find places for their party members on the lists of ranking political forces. Democratic Alliance took this path.
The second is to unite among themselves, where one electoral list is formed by many subjects — political parties, civic organizations, various unions and associations, etc. This path is much more difficult. The rating of such a political community is assembled piece by piece.
This path was taken by Samopomich of Lviv mayor Andriy Sadovyi, the party Volya, representatives of the Donbas battalion and the civic initiative Reanimation Package of Reforms. All of these subjects surprised the political scene by announcing their joint run.
According to the KIIS poll, only one party, Samopomich, has 2,9%; the other allies, except Volya, are not political parties, so their electoral support is not yet known. At the same time, a synergistic effect could work here, and then a new poll would show qualitatively new figures for Samopomich and its allies.
Samopomich party list
1. Hanna Hopko
2. Semen Semenchenko
3. Oleksiy Skrypnyk
4. Oksana Syroidova
5. Viktor Kryvenko
6. Iryna Suslova
7. Pavlo Kishkar
8. Alena Babak
9. Oleksandr Danchenko
10. Natalia Veselova
11. Olena Sotnyk
12. Oleh Lavryk
13. Yehor Soboliev
14. Yaroslav Markevych
15. Ivan Miroshnychenko
16. Andriy Zhurzhyi
17. Ostap Yednak
18. Ihor Didenko
19. Tetyana Ostrikova
20. Oleksandr Opanasenko
21. Ruslan Sydorovych
22. Viktoriya Voytsitskyi
23. Viktoriya Ptichnyk
24. Vladyslav Voskresenskyi
25. Iryna Sysoenko
26. Lev Pidlisetskyi
27. Roman Semenuha
28. Oleh Bereziuk
29. Pavlo Kostenko
30. Anna Romanova
31. Andriy Melnyk
32. Serhiy Kiral
33. Andriy Nemirovskyi
34. Lyubomyr Zubach
35. Volodymyr Harkusha
36. Yuliya Vusenko
37. Andrii Yalovyi
38. Ihor Banakh
39. Oleksiy Kuzmenko
40. Roman Kizyma
41. Hryhoriy Shpak
42. Petro Makovskyi
43. Oleksiy Tolkachev
44. Yulia Lefter
45. Vadym Shkilniak
46. Oleksandr Sytenko
47. Ihor Senkov
48. Ruslan Solodovnykov
49. Taras Yakovlev
50. Andriy Sadovyi
***
The atomized Party of Regions is also trying to go the second route, its clone the Party of Ukraine’s Development (PUD) and another 25 public organizations unknown to the public. The statement on forming an Opposition Bloc on the basis of the former pro-government party was made by PUD executive committee chairman Serhiy Larin.
Finally. Registration of candidates in single-mandate electoral districts is carried out until 25 September. According to the Central Election Commission, 69 candidates have registered so far, while there are more than 200 seats in parliament for majoritarian deputies. No rush in candidate registrations has been observed so far.
Photo: RIA Novosti, UNIAN, IPress, Left Bank. social networks
Prepared by Dmytro Bobrytskyi, published on the site 24tv.ua
Translation: Argument
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