Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.
The policy rate has been raised to 16%.
The Board of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) has increased the policy rate from 15,5% to 16% per year in light of the country's economic situation, in particular due to “persistent fundamental price pressure, secondary effects from supply shocks, and stronger inflationary risks.” This was announced by NBU Governor Andriy Pishnyi during a monetary policy briefing.
According to him, in August consumer inflation accelerated to 8,1% year over year, somewhat surpassing the NBU forecast trajectory. At the same time, core inflation and inflation expectations remained elevated.
“The inflation trajectory in the coming months may be somewhat higher than what the previous NBU forecast projected,” the NBU governor warned.
He said that inflationary pressure would be fueled by the consequences of intensified attacks by Russia and fuel that is more expensive than expected.
“In addition, the impact of global price conditions remains inflationary,” he added.
At the same time, inflation is likely to be restrained by a substantial supply of food on the domestic market, particularly due to difficulties with exporting harvests via the Black Sea.
The NBU believes that such a policy rate level will not affect the cost of bank credits.
Earlier it was reported that the National Bank expected inflation in Ukraine to accelerate to 10% by the end of 2026 year, while real GDP would grow only by 1,8%. The NBU also allows for further increases in the policy rate.
Prime Minister Serhiy Korchinsky stated that the situation with Ukraine’s public finances is approaching a critical point and urged the Verkhovna Rada to promptly pass bills on which obtaining international financial assistance depends. The situation sounds dire. Read in the article “The state finances are close to critical. What to do” what this means.
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