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Almost half a million people could die worldwide due to anomalous heat in the next 9 months, – Climate Impact Lab El Ni...

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Almost half a million people could die worldwide due to anomalous heat in the next 9 months, – Climate Impact Lab

El Niño is to blame — excessive warming of the Pacific Ocean waters. This phenomenon annually alters air circulation and weather conditions globally, intensifying heat, droughts, and other extreme events, writes CIL.

According to experts, because of the current “super–El Niño,” land temperatures in the coming months could be roughly 1,2°C above normal, and the number of extremely hot days could be 44% higher than usual.

The first effects of the phenomenon will appear as soon as this fall — for example, by the end of September meteorologists forecast a return of heat to Europe up to +40°C, which is 10–14 degrees above the long-term average.

Overall, in the first nine months El Niño–related heat could lead to an additional 450–500 thousand deaths, predominantly in Global South countries. Scientists say that in a few decades such temperatures could become the norm.

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Почти полмиллиона человек могут погибнуть по всему миру из-за аномальной жары в следующие 9 месяцев, – Climate Impact Lab

Виной всему Эль-Ниньо – чрезмерное прогревание воды Тихого океана. Это явление ежегодно меняет движение воздушных масс и погодные условия по всему миру, усиливая жару, засухи и другие экстремальные явления, пишет CIL.

По оценке экспертов, из-за нынешнего "супер-Эль-Ниньо" температура на суше в ближайшие месяцы может быть примерно на 1,2°C выше нормы, а число экстремально жарких дней – на 44% больше обычного.

Причем первые последствия явления проявятся уже этой осенью – например, к концу сентября синоптики прогнозируют возвращение в Европу жары до +40°C, что на 10-14 градусов выше многолетнего среднего показателя.

В целом, за первые девять месяцев Эль-Ниньо жара может привести к 450-500 тысячам дополнительных смертей, преимущественно, в странах Глобального Юга. При этом, по словам учёных, через несколько десятилетий такие температуры могут стать нормой.

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