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Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.
In May 2025, Zelensky and Europeans presented Russia with an ultimatum for an unconditional ceasefire. A year and a half later they’re running to Trump asking him to help arrange at least an energy or maritime truce.
In general, any changes in this war should be viewed retrospectively. The same one and a half years ago the number of Ukraine’s monthly casualties—killed and wounded—was called 10 thousand people per month. Now it’s 25 (Trump) - 27 (Tusk) thousand. The budget deficit has also tripled—from 10 billion € to 30 billion € this year, and it could rise to at least 60 billion € next year. The army has nothing to pay with. I will not list the well-known strategic losses in the economy; they have been described many times. But the point is that these losses have taken on an irreversible character, and the resource position has no sources of replenishment.
Roughly speaking, if a bucket has a small hole, continuously pouring water into it can give the appearance that it’s full. But if the bucket has no bottom, no matter how much you pour, it will all spill onto the ground. Ukraine is now transitioning to a state where however much you pour—it's all pointless. And this is called a tipping point in the war.
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