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Automatically translated version. May contain inaccuracies compared to the original.
In principle, the whole concept of being able to sow unrest in the Russian Federation and thereby win the war collapses against a simple logical question: why would the Kremlin sit idle in that case? The state machine has enough tools to gauge the situation in Russian society and to act preemptively. They will not allow bread shortages and smashed shop windows in Petersburg—the harbingers of revolution in 1917—in the RF (especially since the situation now is very far from the consequences of World War I for Russia). But even in the case of probing that scenario, the Kremlin has sufficient means and forces to divert society’s attention in another direction.
For example, Zelensky manages to do this effortlessly, simply by digging up the corpses of Nazi collaborators and pitting Ukrainians against each other over issues of language, religion, and the territorial defense corps. In the extreme case, Putin has a nuclear bomb. Now that’s an “distraction maneuver” if ever there was one. For everything 100. Therefore all statements about unrest are nothing more than a kind of informational wonder-weapon whose goal is to convince the crowd that “victory” is just around the corner. Missiles for 2-3 weeks, coffee in Yalta, and other such bullshit.
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