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🌐 DUTCH BANK ING SELLS DATA CENTER DEBTS. AMONG THEM A PIECE OF STARGATE Dutch ING has put up for sale 12 loans to dat...

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🌐 DUTCH BANK ING SELLS DATA CENTER DEBTS. AMONG THEM A PIECE OF STARGATE

Dutch ING has put up for sale 12 loans to data centers totaling about 500 million dollars. One of them is linked to Stargate, an OpenAI, SoftBank and Oracle project worth up to 500 billion. Bids are being accepted until 19 November.

Bloomberg reported this on 6 November, citing sources. The portfolio is being sold through competitive bidding, with a minimum bid of 10 million dollars. Inside are debts related to Vantage Data Centers and CyrusOne, and a 25 million position in an AI campus in New Mexico. This is Project Jupiter, which is associated with Oracle and Stargate.

To be honest up front: banks constantly sell loans and redistribute risk; it’s standard practice. The sale itself does not mean these loans are troubled. But look at the timing. The news came out the same day Nasdaq fell more than 5%, and shares of companies building AI data centers, like Applied Digital, Cipher Digital, and IREN, each lost more than 14%.

A month ago we wrote that investors would start asking: who will pay for all this infrastructure? Artificial intelligence is not an app on a phone. It’s land, electricity, chips, servers, cooling. And above all it’s huge debt. ING analysts in October estimated that big tech companies could spend nearly a trillion dollars on capital expenditures in fiscal year 2027. Data center operators are preparing to issue bonds of at least 60 billion euros in 2027 versus about 35 billion this year.

Now add what happened over the past week. The Democrats have taken Congress and are preparing laws on data centers, electricity bills, and independent AI testing. Valuations are falling, risks are rising, the payback for data centers is in question. Any competent financier in that situation will do the same: it’s better to transfer part of the risk to someone else while there’s a buyer.

We see a familiar pattern here. In 2008, mortgage loans were packaged into CDOs and synthetic CDOs and sold to each other until the risk ended up with someone who didn’t understand what they were buying. We’ve already said that the AI story could repeat the same mechanics, only instead of houses it would be data centers.

The main question now isn’t whether AI will change the world. The question is who will finance data centers if banks start cutting risk. The U.S. market in recent years has been sustained by AI. The sell-off has already begun, and what happens next is a big question. We will outline our scenario and next steps in a separate post.

💬A bank sells a loan not when everything is bad. It sells it when there’s still someone to sell it to.

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Screenshot of a Telegram post: 🌐 DUTCH BANK ING SELLS DATA CENTER DEBTS. AMONG THEM A PIECE OF STARGATE Dutch…

🌐 ГОЛЛАНДСЬКИЙ БАНК ING ПРОДАЄ БОРГИ ДАТА-ЦЕНТРІВ. СЕРЕД НИХ ШМАТОК STARGATE

Голландський ING виставив на продаж 12 кредитів дата-центрам приблизно на 500 мільйонів доларів. Один із них пов'язаний зі Stargate, проєктом OpenAI, SoftBank і Oracle вартістю до 500 мільярдів. Заявки приймають до 19 листопада.

Про це 6 листопада повідомив Bloomberg з посиланням на джерела. Портфель продають через конкурентні торги, мінімальна заявка 10 мільйонів доларів. Усередині борги, пов'язані з Vantage Data Centers і CyrusOne, і позиція на 25 мільйонів у кампусі ШІ в Нью-Мексико. Це Project Jupiter, який пов'язують з Oracle і Stargate.

Одразу скажемо чесно. Банки постійно продають кредити і перерозподіляють ризик, це звичайна практика. Сам продаж не означає, що ці кредити проблемні. Але подивіться на момент. Новина вийшла в той самий день, коли Nasdaq впав більш ніж на 5%, а акції компаній, що будують дата-центри для ШІ, як Applied Digital, Cipher Digital та IREN, втратили понад 14% кожна.

Місяць тому ми писали, що інвестори почнуть питати: хто заплатить за всю цю інфраструктуру? Штучний інтелект це не програма в телефоні. Це земля, електрика, чипи, сервери, охолодження. І передусім це величезний борг. Аналітики самого ING у жовтні рахували, що великі техкомпанії у 2027 фінансовому році можуть витратити на капітальні вкладення майже трильйон доларів. Оператори дата-центрів готуються випустити облігацій щонайменше на 60 мільярдів євро у 2027-му проти приблизно 35 мільярдів цього року.

Тепер додайте те, що сталося за тиждень. Демократи отримали Конгрес і готують закони про дата-центри, рахунки за електрику і незалежне тестування ШІ. Оцінки падають, ризики ростуть, окупність дата-центрів під питанням. Будь-який грамотний фінансист у такій ситуації зробить те саме: частину ризику краще передати комусь іншому, поки є покупець.

Ми бачимо тут знайому картину. У 2008 році іпотечні кредити пакували в CDO і синтетичні CDO і продавали один одному, поки ризик не опинився в того, хто не розумів, що купує. Ми вже говорили, що історія з ШІ може повторити ту саму механіку, тільки замість будинків тепер дата-центри.

Головне питання тепер не в тому, чи змінить ШІ світ. Питання в тому, хто фінансуватиме дата-центри, якщо банки почнуть скорочувати ризики. Американський ринок останні роки тримався на ШІ. Розпродаж уже почався, і що буде далі, велике питання. Свій сценарій і наші кроки розберемо окремим постом.

💬Банк продає кредит не тоді, коли все погано. Він продає його тоді, коли ще є кому продати.

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